Yesterday we told you about a little tropical spin showing northwest of Lake Okeechobee in south Florida. Today, a separate but related system in southeastern Florida is showing some limited potential for development. The area of unsettled weather covers not only southeastern Florida but also portions of the Bahamas. It is forecast to drift southward toward Cuba for a couple of days before pulling a U-Turn and drifting back northward. Once it arrives near the Florida Keys, there’s a 20% chance it could become a tropical depression. Here are the key messages from the National Hurricane Center:
A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located over southeastern Florida, the central Bahamas, and the Straits of Florida is associated with a frontal system. This disturbance is forecast to continue moving southward over central and western Cuba during the next couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through Saturday. Upper-level winds are expected to become marginally conducive for development by Thursday and Friday when the system is forecast to approach the Florida Keys and South Florida. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall can be expected across portions of extreme southeastern Florida and the Florida Keys this afternoon and tonight, and over western Cuba on Tuesday and Wednesday. For more information on this disturbance, see forecast products issued by your national meteorological service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Keep calm and carry on!