The National Weather Service Office which covers the Attractions Area has released a comprehensive overview of the expected impacts to Central Florida as Elsa makes her way through the peninsula later tonight and into tomorrow. Though the center of the storm is expected to pass well to the north-northwest of the Attractions, the theme park area is considered to be on the “dirty” side of the storm, which brings an increased risk of tornadoes and gusty winds. The full NWS advisory is posted below, but we’ve bolded some areas of particular interest in case you don’t have time to read it all.
Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 25 National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL052021 1128 AM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021 This product covers East Central Florida **CONDITIONS DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM ELSA IMPACT THE AREA** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northern Lake and Southern Lake * STORM INFORMATION: - About 280 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL - 24.9N 82.8W - Storm Intensity 60 mph - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 10 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ The strongest impacts from Tropical Storm Elsa will begin to be felt across east-central Florida from late this afternoon through early Wednesday morning as the system moves northward and parallel to the Florida west coast. Stronger squalls from Elsa's outer rain bands will overspread the Treasure Coast and Lake Okeechobee region by early afternoon. Rain bands will increase in coverage and intensity as they spread north across all of east central through this evening and overnight into early Wednesday morning. Winds will gust to tropical storm force in most rain bands and squalls, and 50 to 60 mph in the most intense squalls. Conditions will also become increasingly favorable for tornadoes to develop within rain bands over the entire Florida peninsula starting later today and continuing into Wednesday morning. The greatest threat for tornadoes to develop across east-central Florida will be from sunset this evening to a few hours after sunrise Wednesday. A Tornado Watch will likely be issued later today. A Flood Watch has been issued for Lake, Seminole, Orange and inland Volusia Counties. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected in the watch area, with isolated amounts to around 6 inches. Outside of the watch area, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected, with local amounts to around 4 inches. The highest totals are expected closest to the track of Elsa's center, across and adjacent to Lake County. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Lake County, where the highest potential exists for sustained tropical storm force winds up to 40 mph. Stronger wind gusts well above tropical storm force are most likely across this area as well. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant impacts across east-central Florida, particularly Lake, Orange, Seminole, and Volusia Counties, where a Flood Watch has been issued. Potential impacts include: - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches overflow. - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures. * TORNADOES: Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts across all of east-central Florida. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground. When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Melbourne FL around 530 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. $$ Rodriguez