Hurricane Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 28 National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL052021 1138 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021 This product covers East Central Florida **ELSA MOVING NORTHWARD JUST OFFSHORE THE TAMPA BAY AREA** **TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR LAKE COUNTY** **TORNADO WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE, VOLUSIA, SEMINOLE, ORANGE, OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM** **FLOOD WATCH FOR LAKE, VOLUSIA, SEMINOLE AND ORANGE COUNTIES** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northern Lake and Southern Lake * STORM INFORMATION: - About 130 miles southwest of Leesburg FL - 27.3N 83.2W - Storm Intensity 75 mph - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Impacts from Hurricane Elsa will increase in coverage and intensity across east-central Florida overnight as outer rain bands spread northeast from western Florida and across east central Florida tonight through early Wednesday morning. Elsa will continue to moving north, and parallel to the Florida Gulf Coast, before making landfall near Cedar Key Wednesday morning. Wind gusts to tropical storm are expected in rain bands and squalls, and may reach 50 to 60 mph in the most intense squalls. A Tornado Watch is now in effect for Lake, Volusia, Seminole, Orange, Osceola and Okeechobee Counties until 8 AM. Conditions will continue to become more favorable for tornadoes in Elsa's outer rain bands overnight through early Wednesday morning, mainly across the interior counties, and inland areas of Volusia County. A Flood Watch continues for Lake, Seminole, Orange and inland Volusia Counties. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected in the watch area, with isolated amounts to 6 inches possible. Outside of the watch area, additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is expected, with local amounts up to 4 inches. The highest totals are likely over and adjacent to Lake County. A Tropical Storm Watch continues for Lake County. This is where the highest potential exists for sustained winds near tropical storm force, up to 40 mph, mainly across the northwest portion of the county near Leesburg, Lady Lake and The Villages. Strong wind gusts above tropical storm force are most likely across this area as well. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * TORNADOES: Potential impacts from tornadoes are unfolding across East Central Florida, especially over Lake, Volusia, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, and Okeechobee Counties, where a Tornado Watch is in effect. Remain well braced against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. * FLOODING RAIN: Potential impacts from the flooding rain are unfolding across across east-central Florida, particularly Lake, Orange, Seminole, and Volusia Counties, where a Flood Watch remains in effect. Remain well guarded against flood waters having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches overflow. - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures. * WIND: Potential impacts from the main wind event will unfold, mainly across Lake County. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy. During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather. Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and check-ins. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body. If a flood warning is issued for your area, be prepared to take action to mitigate rising water near your property. Never drive into flooded areas! * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Melbourne FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.