NOTE: This post has been edited to reflect updated information from the Storm Prediction Center and to correct an erroneous reference to “Wednesday”
An approaching storm system has the potential to spawn a few severe thunderstorms as it passes through central Florida Wednesday Monday morning and afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a severe thunderstorm watch for the area, and also says there is a “marginal” “slight” risk (risk level 1 2 of 5) for severe weather in the area. The primary threat will be strong winds (5% 15%+ chance) and hail (5%+ chance). The tornado that is relatively low (2%+ chance). As a reminder, the percentages shown refer to the overall probability that these things will occur within 25 miles of where you are.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 127 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 700 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 127 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS FLC009-017-049-053-057-069-075-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117- 119-127-201900- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0127.200420T1100Z-200420T1900Z/ FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CITRUS HARDEE HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEVY MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
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Marginal, Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, High… what’s the difference? Learn about the Storm Prediction Center’s outlook products and how they’re issued by reading our two part series:
Understanding Severe Weather Outlooks: Part One | Part Two